Owner Scorecard


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TRV, Travelers Companies

Travelers is a holding company that, through its subsidiaries, sells commercial and personal property and casualty insurance — coverage against damage, loss, and liability — to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals. It collects premiums up front, pays claims as they come due, and earns money two ways: on the gap between premiums taken in and claims paid out, and on the money held in between. It reaches customers through independent agents and brokers, agency aggregators and carrier-based agencies, and direct.

Latest annual: FY2025 10-K
TRV · Travelers Companies
I

The business

What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.

Revenue · FY2025
$48.8B
+5.2% YoY · 9% 5-yr CAGR
Vital signs · TTM, with 5-yr average
Revenue $49.0B 5-yr avg $41.7B
Combined ratio 89% 5-yr avg 98%
Loss ratio 57% 5-yr avg 66%
Return on equity 25% 5-yr avg 15%

Next report Est. 10/13–10/19 · the 10-Q for the quarter ended late September · due within 40 days of period end · has filed ~17 days after · the wire records it on arrival

The business in brief

read the 10-K →

What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.

What moves the needle
The lever that governs a property and casualty insurer is underwriting discipline: whether the price charged for a risk holds up against the claims that actually arrive, since the cost of the product is unknown when it is sold and is only settled years later. The filing names the test plainly — profitability substantially depends on actual claims experience being consistent with the assumptions used in pricing — and names the bad case beside it: products can commoditize, pushing the focus onto price and eroding the ability to differentiate. So watch whether this writer prices risk more accurately than rivals across a full cycle, including the years catastrophes and reserve surprises hit, rather than buying volume cheaply; the record below holds the margins, the returns, and the debt.
Is it a good business?
It underwrites at a profit, about a 89% combined ratio (it keeps roughly 11% of premiums before investing the float). Book value per share, the measure Berkshire is judged on, has compounded about 7% a year across the record. The float runs about 2.0× equity, the leverage that magnifies both the underwriting and the investing. Whether the discipline holds through a soft market, and how the float is invested, are what the 10-K decides.

Drafted from the company's filings and reviewed by hand; every number is shown in full in the sections below.

II

The record

Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.

The record, 2016–2025

realized figures from each filing · older years to the left
2016’162017’172018’182019’192020’202021’212022’222023’232024’242025’25TTMTTMJun 2026
Income statement
$27.6B$28.9B$30.3B$31.6B$32.0B$34.8B$36.9B$41.4B$46.4B$48.8B$49.0BRevenueRevenue
$25.0B$26.2B$27.7B$29.2B$29.7B$32.0B$35.4B$40.2B$43.4B$44.4BPremiums written (net)Prem. written
$24.5B$25.7B$27.1B$28.3B$29.0B$30.9B$33.8B$37.8B$41.9B$43.9B$43.6BPremiums earnedPremiums
$2.3B$2.4B$2.5B$2.5B$2.2B$3.0B$2.6B$2.9B$3.6B$4.0B$4.2BInvestment incomeInv. inc.
$4.1B$2.7B$3.0B$3.1B$3.2B$4.5B$3.4B$3.4B$6.2B$7.8BPretax incomePretax
$3.0B$2.1B$2.5B$2.6B$2.7B$3.7B$2.8B$3.0B$5.0B$6.3B$8.3BNet incomeNet inc.
26%25%15%16%17%18%15%11%19%19%20%Effective tax rateTax rate
Cash flow & returns
$4.5B$4.1B$4.4B$5.2B$6.5B$7.3B$6.5B$7.7B$9.1B$10.6B$11.0BOperating cash flowOp. cash
61%68%68%68%66%66%68%69%65%62%57%Loss ratioLoss
16%16%16%16%16%16%16%16%17%17%17%Expense ratioExpense
≈ 96%≈ 102%≈ 101%≈ 101%≈ 99%≈ 98%≈ 99%≈ 101%≈ 96%≈ 93%≈ 89%Combined ratioCombined
($406M)$164M($267M)($484M)($537M)($38M)($548M)($939M)Prior-yr reserve developmentReserve dev.
13%9%11%10%9%13%13%12%18%19%25%Return on equityROE
10%5%7%7%6%10%9%8%15%16%22%Retained to equityRetained/eq
$757M$785M$814M$844M$861M$869M$875M$908M$951M$979M$989MDividends paidDiv. paid
$2.4B$1.4B$1.3B$1.5B$625M$2.2B$2.0B$958M$1.0B$3.0BBuybacksBuybacks
($1.7B)($2.2B)($2.3B)($2.9B)($4.9B)($5.2B)($3.7B)($6.8B)($7.3B)($7.7B)Investing cash flowInv. cash
($2.8B)($1.9B)($2.0B)($2.2B)($1.4B)($2.0B)($2.7B)($1.1B)($1.7B)($2.7B)Financing cash flowFin. cash
$11M($10M)$5M$16M($1M)($30M)$12M($14M)$23MExchange-rate effectFX
($73M)$37M$29M$121M$227M$40M$38M($149M)$49M$314MChange in cashΔ cash
Balance sheet
$70.5B$72.5B$72.3B$77.9B$84.4B$87.4B$80.5B$88.8B$94.2B$101.2B$103.2BInvestments (total)Investments
$47.9B$49.6B$50.7B$51.8B$54.5B$56.9B$58.6B$61.6B$64.1B$65.7B$67.2BFloat (reserves)Float
$100.2B$103.5B$104.2B$110.1B$116.8B$120.5B$115.7B$126.0B$133.2B$143.7B$143.6BTotal assetsAssets
$77.0B$79.8B$81.3B$84.2B$87.6B$91.6B$94.2B$101.1B$105.3B$110.8BTotal liabilitiesTotal liab.
$23.2B$23.7B$22.9B$25.9B$29.2B$28.9B$21.6B$24.9B$27.9B$32.9B$33.1BShareholders’ equityEquity
Per share
291M279M270M262M255M251M240M232M231M228M216MShares out (diluted)Shares
$10.36$7.38$9.35$10.00$10.59$14.60$11.86$12.88$21.63$27.63$38.44EPS (diluted)EPS
$2.60$2.82$3.02$3.22$3.38$3.46$3.65$3.91$4.12$4.30$4.58Dividends / shareDiv/sh
$79.80$85.18$84.86$98.91$114.69$115.18$89.95$107.33$120.57$144.53$153.34Book value / shareBVPS
Per-share growththe realized rate an owner's share compounded
9-yr5-yr
Revenue / share+9.5%/yr+11.3%/yr
EPS+11.5%/yr+21.1%/yr
Dividends / share+5.7%/yr+4.9%/yr
Book value / share+6.8%/yr+4.7%/yr
III

Quality & stewardship

Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.

Owner’s Scorecard

FY2025 10-K · source on SEC EDGAR →

Is it a good business?

  • Combined ratio ≈ 93%
    Underwriting profit
    Total benefits, losses and expenses $41.0B ÷ premiums earned $43.9B
    Industry peers: median 100%
    What this means

    The heart of a property-casualty insurer: claims and costs as a share of premiums. Below 100% means it is paid to hold the float, the gold standard; above 100% means it loses money on the policies and must make it back on investments. Approximate here, taken from the filer's total benefits, losses and expenses over premiums, so it can sit a point or two off the company's headline figure; a number held below 100% across cycles is the mark of a disciplined underwriter, the rarest thing in the business.

  • Strong
    Net income $6.3B ÷ equity $32.9B
    Industry peers: median 13%
    What this means

    What it earns on shareholders' capital, the underwriting result plus what the float earns invested. Durably above the ~10% cost of equity is what compounds book value.

The float

  • Float $64.9B
    2.0× equity
    Net reserves + unearned premiums − prepaid reinsurance − receivables − DAC = $64.9B
    What this means

    Money held against future claims and invested in the meantime. Buffett's insight was that good underwriting makes this float cost less than nothing, a pool of other people's money the owners earn on. The larger it is against equity, the more that leverage works, for better or worse.

  • 6.1% on the float
    Net investment income $4.0B, 6.1% on the float
    What this means

    What the float and capital earned this year. This is the second engine: an insurer that breaks even on underwriting still wins if the float is large and invested well.

The cost and the reserves

  • Cost of float −4.4%
    Paid to hold the money
    Underwriting profit $2.9B ÷ float $64.9B
    What this means

    Buffett's own yardstick: the underwriting result as the price of holding the float. At or below zero, policyholders are paying the company to invest their money — the gold standard. A modest positive cost can still beat borrowing; a chronic high cost means the float is expensive leverage.

  • Past promises held
    Prior-year development, FY2025: favorable (reserves released) · record: 7 favorable, 1 unfavorable of 8
    In the filing’s words
    “In 2025 , estimated claims and claim adjustment expenses incurred included $ 939 million of net favorable development for claims arising in prior years, including $ 1.04 billion of net favorable prior year reserve development and $ 43 million of accretion of discount that impacted the Company's results of operations.”
    ✓ the narrated $ 939 million ties the filed figure · the words are the company’s
    What this means

    Each year an insurer restates what its old accident years actually cost. Persistent favorable development means management reserved honestly and released the cushion; persistent unfavorable development means past profits were overstated by under-reserving — the industry's chronic sin, and the single most tell-tale line an owner can read. Signed as the company files it: negative favorable, positive unfavorable.

All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.

Management, ownership & pay

read the proxy →

From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.

Fiscal yearChief executivePay, as filed“Actually paid”Net income
2021Mr. Schnitzer$19.9M$37.3M$3.7B
2022Mr. Schnitzer$21.1M$50.4M$2.8B
2023Mr. Schnitzer$22.7M$27.6M$3.0B
2024Mr. Schnitzer$23.1M$61.2M$5.0B
2025Mr. Schnitzer$27.0M$55.6M$6.3B

Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Net income is the whole business's, as filed, for the same fiscal years.

    Peers, Insurance — Property & Casualty

    The same industry, side by side on the underwriting lens. Each column names the period it is read over, and a median resting on fewer than three years carries that count beside it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each figure against.

    CompanyRevenuelatest FY, USDCombined ratiomedian over the recordLoss ratiomedian over the recordYield on floatmedian over the recordROTCEmedian over the record
    PGRProgressive Corp.$87.7B95%72%4.8%23%
    ALLAllstate Corp.$67.7B100%65%11.8%14%
    CBChubb Ltd.$59.5B91%57%5.9%17%
    TRVTravelers Companies$48.8B99%67%5.4%15%
    HIGThe Hartford Insurance Group Inc.$28.4B107%68%5.3%1y16%
    AIGAmerican International Group$28.0B124%76%6.2%3%
    ACGLArch Capital$19.9B88%55%5.1%14%
    LLoews Corp.$18.5B149%76%9.7%6%
    Group median100%67%5.6%15%
    IV

    The price

    What a price has to assume.

    What the price implies

    price / tangible book

    An insurer is worth a multiple of its tangible book value, and the multiple it deserves is set by the return it earns on that book. Type today’s price; we show what you would be paying against what Travelers Companies’s record justifies.

    $
    The assumptions

    Tangible book / share, delivered4%/yr’20→’25

    The justified multiple is (return on tangible equity − growth) ÷ (cost of equity − growth). An insurer earning exactly its cost of equity is worth about one times tangible book; the premium above that prices each point of durable excess return. A higher cost of equity lowers the justified multiple for an insurer.

    Enter a price above to run it.

    Price / tangible book
    Justified by the return
    Normalized return on tangible equity15%
    Price / book
    Earnings yield
    P/E (3-yr avg ’23–’25)
    Graham’s price gate

    Graham applied the same standards to financial enterprises (Intelligent Investor ch.14): the 15× multiple cap on averaged earnings, and P/E times price-to-book at most 22.5. The gate marks the bargain-hunter’s floor, not a verdict.

    Tangible book $28.7B on 209M shares, a 15% normalized return on it. The dials set the multiple such a return would justify; your price sets the multiple you are paying. It assumes the insurer keeps earning that return; an underwriting cycle, a reserve shortfall or a bad year on the float changes it, which is what the record and the 10-K are for.

    Cite: Owner Scorecard, "Travelers Companies (TRV), the owner's record," https://ownerscorecard.com/c/TRV, data as of 2026-07-18.

    Manual order: ← TRUP its page in the Manual TSBK →

    Industry order: ← TRUP the Insurance — Property & Casualty chapter UFCS →