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DE, Deere & Company
Deere builds the big machines that work the land — tractors, combines, planters and sprayers for farmers, and earthmoving and forestry gear for construction and forestry crews. It sells mostly through independent dealers, and a captive finance arm lends customers the money to buy the equipment. The bulk of the revenue comes from agricultural machinery, with construction and forestry a smaller share.
The business
What it sells, where the money comes from, the kind of company it is.
Next report Est. 8/25–9/7 · the 10-Q for the quarter ended early August · due within 40 days of period end · has filed ~32 days after · the wire records it on arrival
The business in brief
read the 10-K →What this business is and what moves its needle, from its own SEC filings.
- What it is
- Revenue is Production and Precision Agriculture (39%), Construction & Forestry (CF) (26%) and Small Agriculture and Turf (23%).
- What moves the needle
- The test that governs Deere is whether the brand, the dealer network, and the precision-farming technology bolted onto the machines add up to a real franchise — one that lets it price above the cost of steel and engines and keep the farmer when the next machine is due — or whether it is a skilled maker of cyclical hardware that earns its keep only in good years. Judge the gross margin and the return on capital across a full farm cycle rather than a single harvest, because agriculture turns with crop prices and farm income, and a captive lender means a downturn shows up twice: fewer machines sold and weaker credit. Single-source suppliers, tariffs on inputs, and the steady capital a heavy manufacturer must feed back in are the standing costs of staying in the game. The figures are in the record below.
- Is it a good business?
- Return on capital has sat near the cost of capital (median 11%). By owner earnings: roughly 12% of revenue reaches owners as cash, consistently. This is price-taker territory, where the balance sheet and the cycle matter more than any multiple; the rest is in the 10-K.
Drafted from the company's filings and reviewed by hand; every number is shown in full in the sections below.
Where the money comes from
read the 10-K →Revenue spreads across 3 segments, the largest Production and Precision Agriculture at 39%.
- Production and Precision Agriculture39%$17.7B
- Construction & Forestry (CF)26%$11.7B
- Small Agriculture and Turf23%$10.5B
From the segment footnote of the company's own 10-K. Shares are of total revenue; the profit bar shows each segment's share of segment operating profit, before unallocated corporate costs.
The record
Ten years of arithmetic, read across the cycle.
The record, 2016–2025
realized figures from each filing · older years to the left| 2016’16 | 2017’17 | 2018’18 | 2019’19 | 2020’20 | 2021’21 | 2022’22 | 2023’23 | 2024’24 | 2025’25 | TTMTTMMay 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||||
| $26.6B | $29.7B | $37.4B | $39.3B | $35.5B | $44.0B | $52.6B | $61.3B | $51.7B | $45.7B | $47.4B | RevenueRevenue |
| $8.4B | $9.8B | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | $22.7B | Gross profitGross prof. |
| 32% | 33% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | Gross marginGross mgn |
| 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | SG&A / revenueSG&A/rev |
| 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | R&D / revenueR&D/rev |
| $2.6B | $3.6B | $4.5B | $4.4B | $4.3B | $8.0B | $9.5B | $13.0B | $9.0B | $6.3B | $9.0B | Operating incomeOp. inc. |
| 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 19.1% | Operating marginOp. mgn |
| $2.2B | $3.2B | $4.1B | $4.1B | $3.9B | $7.6B | $9.1B | $13.0B | $9.2B | $6.3B | — | Pretax incomePretax |
| $1.5B | $2.2B | $2.4B | $3.3B | $2.8B | $6.0B | $7.1B | $10.2B | $7.1B | $5.0B | $4.8B | Net incomeNet inc. |
| 31% | 31% | 42% | 21% | 28% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 23% | Effective tax rateTax rate |
| Cash flow & returns | |||||||||||
| $3.8B | $2.2B | $1.8B | $3.4B | $7.5B | $7.7B | $4.7B | $8.6B | $9.2B | $7.5B | $7.9B | Operating cash flowOp. cash |
| $1.6B | $1.7B | $1.9B | $2.0B | $2.1B | $2.0B | $1.9B | $2.0B | $2.1B | $2.2B | $2.3B | DepreciationDeprec. |
| $615M | ($1.7B) | ($2.6B) | ($1.9B) | $2.5B | ($369M) | ($4.4B) | ($3.7B) | ($195M) | $52M | $675M | Working capital & otherWC & other |
| $644M | $595M | $896M | $1.1B | $820M | $848M | $1.1B | $1.5B | $1.6B | $1.4B | $1.3B | CapexCapex |
| 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | Capex / revenueCapex/rev |
| $3.1B | $1.6B | $926M | $2.3B | $6.7B | $6.9B | $3.6B | $7.1B | $7.6B | $6.1B | $6.7B | Owner earningsOwner earn. |
| 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | Owner earnings marginOE mgn |
| $3.1B | $1.6B | $926M | $2.3B | $6.7B | $6.9B | $3.6B | $7.1B | $7.6B | $6.1B | $6.7B | Free cash flowFCF |
| 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | Free cash flow marginFCF mgn |
| $199M | $284M | $5.2B | — | $66M | $244M | $498M | $82M | — | $101M | $101M | AcquisitionsAcquis. |
| $761M | $764M | $806M | $943M | $956M | $1.0B | $1.3B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.7B | $1.8B | Dividends paidDiv. paid |
| $205M | $6M | $958M | $1.3B | $750M | $2.5B | $3.6B | $7.2B | $4.0B | $1.1B | — | BuybacksBuybacks |
| ($1.2B) | ($1.7B) | ($8.2B) | ($3.9B) | ($3.3B) | ($5.8B) | ($8.5B) | ($8.7B) | ($6.5B) | ($2.1B) | — | Investing cash flowInv. cash |
| ($2.4B) | $4.3B | $876M | $509M | ($980M) | ($1.1B) | $826M | $2.8B | ($2.7B) | ($4.6B) | — | Financing cash flowFin. cash |
| ($13M) | $157M | $26M | ($56M) | $32M | $55M | ($224M) | $31M | ($37M) | $77M | — | Exchange-rate effectFX |
| $174M | $5.0B | ($5.5B) | ($59M) | $3.2B | $953M | ($3.2B) | $2.7B | $13M | $900M | — | Change in cashΔ cash |
| 7% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 26% | 31% | 24% | 16% | 10% | ROICROIC |
| 23% | 23% | 21% | 29% | 21% | 32% | 35% | 47% | 31% | 19% | 17% | Return on equityROE |
| 12% | 15% | 14% | 20% | 14% | 27% | 29% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 11% | Retained to equityRetained/eq |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||||
| $4.3B | $9.3B | $3.9B | $3.9B | $7.1B | $8.0B | $4.8B | $7.5B | $7.3B | $8.3B | $7.9B | Cash & investmentsCash+inv |
| — | — | $5.0B | $5.2B | $4.2B | $4.2B | $6.4B | $7.7B | $5.3B | $5.3B | $7.6B | ReceivablesReceiv. |
| $3.3B | $3.9B | $6.1B | $6.0B | $5.0B | $6.8B | $8.5B | $8.2B | $7.1B | $7.4B | $8.2B | InventoryInvent. |
| $3.3B | $3.9B | $11.2B | $11.2B | $9.2B | $11.0B | $14.9B | $15.9B | $12.4B | $12.7B | $15.8B | Operating working capitalOper. WC |
| $5.2B | $5.1B | $5.9B | $6.0B | $5.8B | — | — | — | — | — | — | Net PP&ENet PP&E |
| $816M | $1.0B | $3.1B | $2.9B | $3.1B | $3.3B | $3.7B | $3.9B | $4.0B | $4.2B | $4.5B | GoodwillGoodwill |
| $57.9B | $65.8B | $70.1B | $73.0B | $75.1B | $84.1B | $90.0B | $104.1B | $107.3B | $106.0B | $107.0B | Total assetsAssets |
| $23.7B | $25.9B | $27.2B | $30.2B | $41.3B | $43.8B | $12.6B | $17.9B | $13.5B | $13.8B | $48.1B | Total debtDebt |
| $19.4B | $16.6B | $23.3B | $26.4B | $34.3B | $35.8B | $7.8B | $10.5B | $6.2B | $5.5B | $40.2B | Net debt / (cash)Net debt |
| 3.4× | 4.0× | 3.7× | 3.0× | 3.5× | 8.1× | 9.0× | 5.3× | 2.7× | 2.0× | 3.0× | Interest coverageInt. cov. |
| $51.4B | $56.2B | $58.8B | $61.6B | $62.1B | $65.7B | $69.7B | $82.2B | $84.4B | $80.0B | — | Total liabilitiesTotal liab. |
| $14M | $14M | $14M | $14M | — | — | $92M | $97M | $82M | $51M | — | Redeemable interestsRedeemable |
| $11M | $3M | $3M | $4M | $7M | $3M | $3M | $4M | $7M | $6M | — | Noncontrolling interestsNCI |
| $6.5B | $9.6B | $11.3B | $11.4B | $12.9B | $18.4B | $20.3B | $21.8B | $22.8B | $25.9B | $27.4B | Shareholders’ equityEquity |
| 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | Stock comp / revenueSBC/rev |
| Per share | |||||||||||
| 317M | 323M | 327M | 321M | 317M | 314M | 306M | 294M | 277M | 272M | 271M | Shares out (diluted)Shares |
| $84.16 | $91.98 | $114.14 | $122.45 | $112.26 | $140.20 | $171.65 | $208.62 | $186.63 | $168.14 | $174.95 | Revenue / shareRev/sh |
| $4.81 | $6.68 | $7.23 | $10.15 | $8.69 | $18.99 | $23.28 | $34.63 | $25.62 | $18.50 | $17.66 | EPS (diluted)EPS |
| $9.87 | $4.95 | $2.83 | $7.15 | $21.05 | $21.90 | $11.64 | $24.15 | $27.39 | $22.45 | $24.65 | Owner earnings / shareOE/sh |
| $9.87 | $4.95 | $2.83 | $7.15 | $21.05 | $21.90 | $11.64 | $24.15 | $27.39 | $22.45 | $24.65 | Free cash flow / shareFCF/sh |
| $2.40 | $2.36 | $2.46 | $2.94 | $3.02 | $3.31 | $4.29 | $4.86 | $5.79 | $6.33 | $6.48 | Dividends / shareDiv/sh |
| $2.04 | $1.84 | $2.74 | $3.49 | $2.59 | $2.70 | $3.70 | $5.10 | $5.92 | $5.01 | $4.64 | Cap. spending / shareCapex/sh |
| $20.59 | $29.56 | $34.49 | $35.60 | $40.86 | $58.70 | $66.15 | $74.20 | $82.41 | $95.51 | $101.17 | Book value / shareBVPS |
| 9-yr | 5-yr | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue / share | +8.0%/yr | +8.4%/yr |
| Owner earnings / share | +9.6%/yr | +1.3%/yr |
| EPS | +16.1%/yr | +16.3%/yr |
| Dividends / share | +11.4%/yr | +16.0%/yr |
| Capital spending / share | +10.5%/yr | +14.1%/yr |
| Book value / share | +18.6%/yr | +18.5%/yr |
Where the cash went
ReinvestBuybacksDividendsAcquisitionsRetainedBeyond op. cashEach year's outlays against its operating cash: the mix, and how it drifts. The hatched cap is spending beyond that year's operating cash — financed from the balance sheet or borrowing, not operations.
Net income is the accountant's number; owner earnings is the cash an owner could take out. The walk between them, off the cash-flow statement, and whether the gap is widening or holding.
In fiscal 2025 the business turned $5.0B of profit into $6.1B of owner earnings: more cash than the profit line showed, after the non-cash charges and the capital it put back in.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported net income | $5.0B | $7.1B | $10.2B | $7.1B | $6.0B |
| Depreciation & amortizationnon-cash charge added back | +$2.2B | +$2.1B | +$2.0B | +$1.9B | +$2.0B |
| Stock-based compensationreal costnon-cash, but a real cost | +$151M | +$208M | +$130M | +$85M | +$82M |
| Working capital & othertiming of cash in and out, other non-cash items | +$52M | −$195M | −$3.7B | −$4.4B | −$369M |
| Cash from operations | $7.5B | $9.2B | $8.6B | $4.7B | $7.7B |
| Capital expenditurecash put back in to keep running and to grow | −$1.4B | −$1.6B | −$1.5B | −$1.1B | −$848M |
| Owner earnings | $6.1B | $7.6B | $7.1B | $3.6B | $6.9B |
| Owner-earnings marginowner earnings ÷ revenue | 13% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 16% |
Owner earnings is the cash an owner could pull out without starving the business: operating cash less the capital it must spend to hold its position . The cash-flow statement also adds stock comp back as non-cash, but it is a real cost paid in shares; counted as the expense it is (less $151M), owner earnings is nearer $5.9B.
Maintenance capex is estimated as depreciation where a growing business invests above it; free cash flow is the figure the scorecard's free-cash margin reads.
Quality & stewardship
Returns, the balance sheet, capital allocation, and pay.
Owner’s Scorecard
“Prior period results for Deere & Company were not restated, as the adjustment was considered immaterial to our financial statements. 5.”
The figures below are only as sound as the controls that produced them. read the note →
Will it survive?
- AdequateOperating income $9.0B ÷ interest expense $3.2B
What this means
Comfortable in a normal year, but below the margin of safety Graham looked for. Worth checking how stable the coverage has been across a full cycle.
- How heavy is the debt, net of cash? $38.4B · 4.2× operating profitHeavy net debtCash $8.3B − debt $46.7B
What this means
Netting $8.3B of cash and short-term investments against $46.7B of debt leaves $38.4B owed, about 4.2× a year's operating profit (5.2× on the gross debt, before the cash). Net debt is the leverage figure that matters: the cash is already set against the debt. Strategic or illiquid investments aren't counted here.
- Not enough data
What this means
The filing data didn't include the inputs for this check.
Is it a good business?
- Solid through the cycle10-yr median, range 7%–31%; 11% latest = NOPAT $7.2B ÷ invested capital $64.4BIndustry peers: median 10%
What this means
The rate the business earns on the money tied up in it, Buffett's north star, because over time a stock tracks the ROIC beneath it. Above ~15% sustained hints at a moat; a return below the cost of capital (~8%) erodes value as a business grows rather than building it — the test Buffett weighs most. The headline is the median of the last 10 years (it ran 11% most recently), so one peak or trough year doesn't set the verdict. Asset-light businesses (R&D expensed, little capital) read artificially high, pair this with Owner Earnings.
- Solid through the cycle10-yr median margin, range 2%–19%; latest $6.1B = operating cash $7.5B − maintenance capex $1.4BIndustry peers: median 9%
What this means
What an owner could take out without starving the business: operating cash less the maintenance capital it must spend to hold its position — Buffett's owner earnings. That's 13% of revenue this year, a 12% median across 10 years. Treating stock comp as the real expense it is (less $151M of SBC) leaves $5.9B.
- Cash-backedCash from ops $7.5B ÷ net income $5.0B
In the filing’s words The filing discloses a restatement of previously reported figures — some numbers in the record have moved since they were first filed; read what changed, and why, before trusting the trend.
What this means
How much of reported profit showed up as operating cash. Above 1× is reassuring; well below suggests earnings lean on accruals. One year is noisy, growth and working-capital swings distort it, and this is operating cash, not free cash. Watch the multi-year trend.
How is the cash used?
- Returns about halfDividends + buybacks $2.9B ÷ Owner Earnings $6.1B — this fiscal year
What this means
Of $6.1B Owner Earnings, $2.9B (47%) went back to shareholders, $1.7B dividends, $1.1B buybacks. Net of $151M stock comp, the real buyback was about $987M. Returning most of it is the mark of a mature business with little left to reinvest at a high return; reinvesting most could mean a long runway, or empire-building. The split doesn't say which; the return earned on it (see ROIC) does. This year's proportion is 47%; across the record (2016–2025) it is 72%, the capital-allocation section below.
- Investing or harvesting? 0.61×HarvestingCapex $1.4B ÷ depreciation $2.2B
What this means
Descriptive, not a grade. Above ~1× means investing faster than assets wear out (growth, or, sustained for years, today's earnings carrying less depreciation than tomorrow's will). Below means spending less than it's wearing out (efficiency, or a melting asset base). The ratio won't tell you which; the filings will.
Graham’s defensive tests · 4 of 4 met
Graham’s numerical criteria for the defensive investor (The Intelligent Investor, ch. 14), run on the filings. A floor of safety, not a buy signal; many fine modern businesses fail his strictest liquidity rules by design.
- Adequate size PassRevenue ≥ $2B · $45.7B
What this means
Big enough to weather a storm. Graham's 1972 floor was ~$100M of sales (≈ $700M today); we use a $2B revenue line as a conservative modern stand-in.
- Strong liquidity —Current ratio ≥ 2× · —
What this means
Current assets / liabilities not in the data yet.
- Earnings stability PassA profit every year (10-yr record) · no losses
What this means
Graham wanted earnings in each of the past ten years, the stability a defensive owner leans on.
- Dividend record PassUninterrupted dividends · paid every year (10)
What this means
An unbroken dividend was Graham's mark of durability. He wanted twenty years; the filings show about ten, and a single suspension breaks the streak. Non-payers, many fine modern compounders, fall outside his defensive net by design.
- Earnings growth PassEarnings +33% over the record · +268%
What this means
At least a third more earnings than a decade ago, averaging three years at each end. Net income (not per-share), so stock splits don't distort it, buybacks and dilution show up in the share-count line instead.
- Moderate price —P/E ≤ 15 and P/E × P/B ≤ 22.5 · decided by the price
What this means
Graham's valuation gate, the wall he kept between a sound business and a sound investment. Three-year average earnings are $27.53/share (latest year $18.62), the averaged base the calculator's gate runs on, and book value is $96.13/share. Enter a price in “What the price implies” just below for the P/E, P/B, and whether it clears. But this is the rule Buffett outgrew: there's no hard P/E law, and a wonderful business can deserve a far richer multiple if the thesis holds, treat it as the bargain-hunter's floor, not a verdict on the price.
Durability & moat, 2016–2025
Whether the record’s returns held, and what the capital reinvested earned.
- Profitable years 10 of 10
What this means
Never lost money over the record, the earnings stability Graham insisted on.
- Return on capital ≥ 15% 4 of 10 yrs
What this means
A moat shows up as a high return on invested capital that holds year after year, not one good vintage.
- Operating margin 11% → 17% (3-yr avg ends)
In the filing’s words The record and the words agree: the margin widened and the filing attributes the gain to its own pricing, not volume alone.
What this means
Through the cycle the operating margin widened — about 11% early to 17% lately, median 12% — pricing power intact or improving.
- Reinvestment, incremental ROIC returns capital
What this means
The capital base barely grew: this business returns cash through dividends and buybacks rather than reinvesting. Judge it on the cash returned, not on compounding.
- Owner earnings growth +13%/yr
What this means
Owner earnings grew about 13% a year over the record.
- Worst year 2016 · 9.8% op. margin
What this means
Stayed profitable even in its hardest year, the resilience that survives recessions.
- Share count −1.7%/yr
What this means
The share count is shrinking, buybacks are quietly growing your slice of the business.
- Dividend record rising
What this means
Paid and raised the dividend across the record, the continuity Graham prized.
All figures as filed; the source filing is linked above.
Debt maturity
the debt note, SEC EDGAR →Not how much it owes, but when it falls due, and against what. The ladder the company files, beside cash on hand and a year's owner earnings.
Bars scaled to the largest single year.
Against what the business has and earns
Cash on hand as of May 3, 2026 plus a year’s owner earnings comes to $14.0B against the $8.9B due in the twelve months after the Nov 2, 2025 schedule: 1.6 times it.
Maturity schedule extracted from the company’s Nov 2, 2025 annual report and reconciled to the balance-sheet debt.
How the cash was used, 2016–2025
Over the record, the business generated $56.4B of operating cash; how management split it reads as a balanced allocator, splitting cash between the business, owners, and the balance sheet.
- Reinvested$10.6B · 19%
- Dividends$11.3B · 20%
- Buybacks$21.7B · 38%
- Retained (debt / cash)$12.8B · 23%
- Returned to owners$33.0B
72% of the owner earnings the business produced over the span, $11.3B as dividends and $21.7B as buybacks.
- Source of fundingOperating cash
Operating cash covered reinvestment and returns; over the span debt rose $24.4B and cash and short-term investments rose $3.6B.
- Average price paid for buybacks—
Buybacks ran $21.7B over the span, but the filings don't tag the share count needed to deduce the average price paid.
- Net change in share count−14.4%
The diluted count fell from 317M to 271M, so the buybacks outran the stock issued to staff.
- Dividend record$6.33/sh
Paid in 10 of the years on record, the per-share dividend growing about 11% a year. It was never cut over the span.
- Return on what it retained35%
Of the earnings it kept rather than paid out ($14.4B over the span), annual owner earnings (first three years vs last three) grew $5.0B, so each retained $1 added about 0.35 of yearly owner earnings. Buffett's test, run on owner earnings instead of market value.
Buybacks are gross of stock issued to staff; the share-count line above is the net of that, the figure that decides whether owners gained. The average price paid blends a year of purchases (and any accelerated repurchase), so it is close, not exact. The record of where the cash went and on what terms.
Management, ownership & pay
read the proxy →From the proxy: how much of the business the people running it own, and how they are paid, beside what the business earned for its owners in the same years.
| Fiscal year | Chief executive | Pay, as filed | “Actually paid” | Owner earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Mr. May | $19.9M | $48.0M | $6.9B |
| 2022 | Mr. May | $20.3M | $38.6M | $3.6B |
| 2023 | Mr. May | $26.7M | $29.0M | $7.1B |
| 2024 | Mr. May | $27.8M | $31.0M | $7.6B |
| 2025 | Mr. May | $27.9M | $15.0M | $6.1B |
Both pay figures are the company’s own, from the pay-versus-performance table its proxy statement files. “As filed” is the Summary Compensation Table total: salary, bonus, and equity awards at their value on the day of grant. “Actually paid” is the SEC’s prescribed recalculation, which re-marks those equity awards to what they became as they vested; it can swing far above or below the filed figure in either direction, and negative years occur. Owner earnings are the whole business's, from the record above, for the same fiscal years.
- Insider ownership<1%
The stake all directors and executive officers hold together, per the 2026 proxy: skin in the game, the first thing Munger reads.
- Stock-based compensation$151M
The slice of the business handed to employees in shares in fiscal 2025, 0.3% of revenue, equal to 1.7% of operating profit. Buffett's oldest accounting fight: this is compensation, compensation is an expense, real whether or not the headline earnings admit it. One trap: the cash-flow statement adds SBC back, so the operating cash, and the owner earnings drawn from it, are flattered by exactly this amount; counted as the cost it is, what an owner keeps is lower.
Peers, Farm & Heavy Equipment
The same industry, side by side on owner economics. Each column names the period it is read over, and a median resting on fewer than three years carries that count beside it; the group median at the foot is the line to read each figure against.
| Company | Revenuelatest FY, USD | Gross marginmedian over the record | Op. marginmedian over the record | ROICmedian over the record | Owner earn. marginmedian over the record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CATCaterpillar Inc. | $67.6B | 32% | 14.3% | 19% | 12% |
| DEDeere & Company | $45.7B | 32%2y | 12.9% | 11% | 12% |
| 6326Kubota | $19.0B | 29%4y | 9.8% | 6% | 2% |
| CNHCNH Industrial N.V. | $15.3B | 21% | 15.2% | 10% | — |
| WABWabtec | $11.2B | 30% | 11.6% | 6% | 11% |
| AGCOAgco Corp /de | $10.1B | 23% | 5.6% | 10% | 5% |
| TTCToro | $4.5B | 34% | 12.7% | 23% | 11% |
| ALGAlamo Group Inc. | $1.6B | 25% | 9.6% | 10% | 6% |
| Group median | — | 30% | 12.2% | 10% | 11% |
The price
What a price has to assume.
What the price implies
reverse-DCFType today's close and see the owner-earnings growth you'd have to believe to justify it, beside what Deere & Company has delivered.
Through the cycle, Deere & Company earns about $5.3B on its 11.7% median owner-earnings margin. This year’s 13.4% margin runs in line with that. Normalize, below, values the price on that through-cycle figure rather than the latest year.
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9.0% = the 4.68% 10-year Treasury (Jul 30, 2026) + 4.32 points of equity premium. The rate you require is yours to set.
Enter a price above to run it.
A dated snapshot of the price you typed, the assumptions you set, and what the page showed for them. A snapshot is never edited after it is saved. Your notebook is yours alone — the commitment states what is stored and what we will never do.
Graham capped the multiple at 15×; Buffett and Munger let that rule go: a wonderful business can deserve 50× if the thesis holds. The gate marks the bargain-hunter's floor.
Prefilled with the 10-year Treasury (4.68%, as of Jul 30, 2026). Edit it for today’s exact figure, or a AAA corporate yield.
Graham measured a stock against the bond you could own instead, the heart of his margin of safety. Enter a price above to weigh the owner-earnings yield against this bond.
Owner earnings $6.7B on 270M shares outstanding, per the 10-Q cover, as of 2026-05-03; net debt $40.2B. The base is the latest year by default; Normalize values it on the through-cycle median owner-earnings margin (to avoid paying on a peak year). Net of stock comp treats option pay as the expense it is. The dials set the multiple a growth belief justifies; the price, and every dollar on this page, is yours.
Manual order: ← DDT its page in the Manual DEA →
Industry order: ← CNH the Farm & Heavy Equipment chapter GBX →